Why The 2025 Close Below $100,000 Is Terrible For The Bitcoin Price
The Bitcoin Price Rollercoaster
As 2025 rolled to a close, Bitcoin was doing its best impersonation of a rollercoaster—swooping and diving below the $90,000 mark after weeks of downward spiral. But alas, it couldn’t muster the strength to hit that crucial $100,000 finish line, closing the year at a rather dismal $88,750.
The Catchy Candlestick Conundrum
After this lackluster finish, investors are feeling the pinch, and let’s be real, it’s not a pretty sight. A three-month candlestick analysis (thanks to our pal Greeny on X) gave us some juicy gossip: a big ol’ bearish engulfing candle just crashed onto the scene, completely overshadowing the previous quarterly gains. This kind of behavior on such a high timeframe isn’t just a random Tuesday; it usually signals that the sellers are out for blood!
Support? More Like Sore Spot!
Now, here’s where it gets interesting: the $106,700 mark is the new neighborhood watch area for Bitcoin. This level is the low point of the last three-month candle, and guess what? Bitcoin’s recent fall means this support has turned into a hefty resistance wall for anything attempting to rally in Q1.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Any hope for a comeback in early 2026? Well, if Bitcoin wants to avoid another slap on the wrist, it better reclaim that $106,700 zone and do it convincingly—or else face another round of rejection.
Stochastic Indicators: The Drama Unfolds
Don’t even get me started on the stochastic levels hovering around $108,000. If Bitcoin wraps up Q1 2026 still playing below this line, we can expect the downward spiral to continue its party. We’ve got ourselves a tight ceiling here, making any recovery attempts feel like trying to breathe under a pile of pillows.
A Daring Dance of Indicators
Now, let’s talk about the stochastic indicator once more. For the first time in history, it’s hit the 80th percentile on a three-month scale, which is usually a red flag waving wildly in the air, signaling exhaustion or possibly even the localized peak of a bull cycle. And, oh boy, a red moving average crossing above the blue while being way below the stochastic band? That’s like a neon sign flashing, “Local top ahead!” The only way this gets undone is if Bitcoin managed to strut its stuff above $108,000 before March packs up its bags.
The Market’s Unforgiving Nature
As we wrapped up 2025, liquidity across the crypto universe tightened more than your grandma’s hug at a family reunion. Thanks to the Central Bank of Japan keeping interest rates higher, Bitcoin took a back seat and decided to sulk while gold and silver danced their way to new price heights.